Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.002548 0.002715 0.002894 0.003102 0.003338 0.003600 0.003916
2024-12-29 0.002317 0.002548 0.002812 0.003140 0.003542 0.004032 0.004688
2025-01-05 0.002114 0.002373 0.002681 0.003082 0.003604 0.004285 0.005287
2025-01-12 0.001942 0.002211 0.002539 0.002981 0.003581 0.004410 0.005728
2025-01-19 0.001844 0.002127 0.002480 0.002971 0.003668 0.004688 0.006454
2025-01-26 0.001693 0.001963 0.002305 0.002786 0.003484 0.004531 0.006425
2025-02-02 0.001640 0.001922 0.002284 0.002808 0.003596 0.004843 0.007302
2025-02-09 0.001617 0.001914 0.002307 0.002891 0.003807 0.005353 0.008766
2025-02-16 0.001573 0.001877 0.002284 0.002904 0.003907 0.005690 0.010032
2025-02-23 0.001561 0.001881 0.002319 0.003005 0.004166 0.006381 0.012677
2025-03-02 0.001507 0.001825 0.002264 0.002962 0.004168 0.006559 0.013984
2025-03-09 0.001449 0.001760 0.002192 0.002886 0.004104 0.006581 0.014799
2025-03-16 0.001425 0.001745 0.002196 0.002938 0.004292 0.007253 0.019216
2025-03-23 0.001401 0.001728 0.002197 0.002987 0.004487 0.008028 0.026437
2025-03-30 0.001354 0.001677 0.002143 0.002939 0.004481 0.008282 0.031632
2025-04-06 0.001300 0.001613 0.002068 0.002847 0.004375 0.008225 0.034290
2025-04-13 0.001270 0.001583 0.002041 0.002839 0.004442 0.008709 0.046678
2025-04-20 0.001204 0.001498 0.001927 0.002668 0.004143 0.007979 0.038124
2025-04-27 0.001186 0.001482 0.001920 0.002689 0.004263 0.008625 0.058457
2025-05-04 0.001181 0.001486 0.001943 0.002765 0.004519 0.009882 0.172257
2025-05-11 0.001162 0.001469 0.001932 0.002777 0.004629 0.010683 1.575306
2025-05-18 0.001161 0.001478 0.001963 0.002871 0.004955 0.012696 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001134 0.001446 0.001927 0.002830 0.004935 0.013059 NaN